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基于灰色关联分析法与层次分析法的作战方案评估方法研究

Research on Combat Plan Evaluation Method Based on Grey Relational Analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process

  • 摘要: 作战方案优选决策一直是作战指挥决策中的一项难题,由于作战方案决策涉及因素多,而且通常是多目标的,优选过程复杂。为实现对作战方案的优选,基于理想方案,利用灰色关联分析法进行定量计算,得到各可行方案与理想方案接近度的量化值,从而在众多方案中找出最优方案。同时,为了降低灰色关联分析计算的主观随意性,引入层次分析法确定各评估指标权重,形成一套作战方案评估方法,使作战方案评估优选过程更加科学合理。最后,通过假定在某一区域拟定了多个作战方案,采用建立的作战方案评估方法对作战方案进行评估,实现了方案优选。

     

    Abstract: The selection and optimization of operation plans have always been a difficult task in combat command decision-making. The decision-making of combat plans involves many factors and is usually multi-objective, leading to a complex selection process. To achieve the optimization of combat plans, this paper uses the grey correlation analysis method based on the ideal plan to perform quantitative calculations, obtaining the quantitative value of the proximity of each feasible plan to the ideal plan. Thus, the optimal plan can be identified among multiple plans. At the same time, to reduce the subjectivity of gray correlation analysis method, the analytic hierarchy process is introduced to determine the weights of various evaluation indicators. A set of combat plan evaluation methods is formed, making the process of evaluating and selecting combat plans more scientific and reasonable. Finally, by assuming that multiple combat plans are formulated in a certain area, the methods established in this paper are used to evaluate combat plans, achieving plan optimization.

     

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